Table Of ContentCRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES
STATE OF THE ART IN RESEARCH AND
APPLICATION
INTERNATIONAL SERIES IN
OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Frederick S. Hillier, Series Editor Stanford Universit)
Balsamo, S., Persone, V., & Onvural, R.I ANALYSIS OF QUEUEING NETWORKS
BLOCKING
Bouyssou, D. et al. / EVALUATION AND DECISION MODELS: A Critical Perspecti'
Hanne, T. / INTELUGENT STRATEGIES FOR META MULTIPLE CRITERIA DECISIC
Saaty, T. & Vargas, L. / MODELS. METHODS. CONCEPTS and APPUCATIONS C
ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS
Chatterjee, K. & Samuelson, W. / GAME THEORY AND BUSINESS APPUCATION.
Hobbs, B. et al. / THE NEXT GENERATION OF ELECfRIC POWER UNIT COMMIT
MODELS
Vanderbei, R.J. / UNEAR PROGRAMMING: Foundations and Extensions. 2nd Ed.
Kimrns, A. / MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING AND FINANCIAL OBJECfIVES FO
SCHEDUUNG PROJECfS
Baptiste, P., Le Pape, C. & Nuijten, W. / CONSTRAINT· BASED SCHEDUUNG
Feinberg, E. & Shwartz, A. / HANDBOOK OF MARKOV DECISION PROCESSES:
and Applications
RaffilK, J. & Vlach, M. / GENERAUZED CONCAVITY IN FUZZY OPTIMIZATION
AND DECISION ANALYSIS
Song, 1. & Yao, D. / SUPPLY CHAIN STRUCfURES: Coordination. Information and
Optimization
Kozan, E. & Ohuchi, A.I OPERATIONS RESEARCH! MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AT
Bouyssou et al. I AIDING DECISIONS WITH MULTIPLE CRITERIA: Essays in
Honor ofB ernard Roy
Cox, Louis Anthony, Jr. / RISK ANALYSIS: Foundations. Models and Methods
Dror, M., L'Ecuyer, P. & Szidarovszky, F. I MODEUNG UNCERTAINTY: An Exan
of Stochastic Theory. Methods. and Applications
Dokuchaev, N. / DYNAMIC PORTFOUO STRATEGIES: Quantitative Methods and EmJ
for Incomplete Information
Sarker, R., Mohamrnadian, M. & Yao, X. / EVOLUTIONARY OPTIMIZATION
Demeulemeester, R. & Herroelen, W. / PROJECf SCHEDUUNG: A Research Ham
Gazis, D.C. I TRAFFIC THEORY
Zhu, J. / QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR PERFORMANCE EVALUATION AND BENC}
Ehrgott. M. & Gandibleux. X./ MULTIPLE CRITERIA OPTIMIZATION: State of the A
Bibliographical Surveys
Bienstock. D.I Potential Function Methods for Approx. Solving Unear Programming P
Matsatsinis. N.F. & Siskos. Y.I INTELUGENT SUPPORT SYSTEMS FOR MARKEl
DECISIONS
Alpern. S. & Gal. S./THE THEORY OF SEARCH GAMES AND RENDEZVOUS
Hall, R.W.lHANDBOOK OF TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE· 2M Ed.
Glover, F. & Kochenberger. G.A./ HANDBOOK OF METAHEURISTICS
Graves, S.B. & Ringuest, 1.L. / MODELS AND METHODS FOR PROJECf SELECfJ
Concepts from Management Science. Finance and Information Technology
Hassin. R. & Haviv, M.I TO QUEUE OR NOT TO QUEUE: Equilibrium Behavior i
Systems
Gershwin. S.B. et aVANALYSIS & MODEUNG OF MANUFACfURING SYSTEMS
Maros.1.I COMPUTATIONAL TECHNIQUES OF THE SIMPLEX METHOD
Harrison, Lee & Neale! THE PRACfICE OF SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT: Where
Application Converge
Shanthikumar, Yao & Zijrnt STOCHASTIC MODEUNG AND OPTIMIZATION OF
MANUFACfURlNG SYSTEMS AND SUPPLY CHAINS
Nabrzyski. 1.. Schopf, 1.M .• W~glarz, J.I GRID RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: State,
and Future Trends
• A list o/the early publications in the series is at the end o/the book
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES
STATE OF THE ART IN RESEARCH AND
APPLlCATION
Edited by
W.A.H. Thissen and P.M. Herder
Delft University of Technology, Dep!. of Technology, Policy and Management
Springer Science+Business Media, LLC
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress.
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES: State ofthe Art in Research and Application, edited by
W.A.H. Thissen and P.M. Herder
ISBN 978-1-4613-5105-4 ISBN 978-1-4615-0495-5 (eBook)
DOI 10.1007/978-1-4615-0495-5
Copyright © 2003 bySpringer Science+Business Media New York
OriginaIly published by Kluwer Academic Publishers, New York in 2003
Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover Ist edition 2003
AII rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, microfilming, record ing, ar otherwise, without the written permission
from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specificaIly for the
purpose of being entered and executed an a computer system, for exclusive use by
the purchaser of the work.
Permission for books published in Europe:
Contents
Preface IX
Critical Infrastructures: A New and Challenging Research Field
P.M. HERDER, W.A.H. THISSEN
Part I: Vulnerability and Risk 9
The Vulnerable Internet II
H.A.M. LUIIJF, M.H.A. KLAVER, J. HUIZENGA, J. VAN TiLL,
R. DE BOER, C.H.C. VAN DE SANDT, P. MACLAINE PONT
System Implications of Distributed Generation 39
N. STRACHAN, H. ZERRIFFI, AND H. DOWLATABADI
The Wireless Revolution 77
P.S. ANDERSON, G.A. Gow
Regulatory Design for Disaster Preparedness and Recovery by
Infrastructure Providers 103
L. SRIV AST AV A , R. SAMARAJIV A
Part II: System Development and Adaptation 121
Policy Enablers for the Development of a Space-Based Infrastructure 123
D. HASTINGS, E. S. LAMASSOURE, A.L. WEIGEL, J.H. SALEH
VI Critical infrastructures
State of the art in research and application
A Framework for Modeling the Control and Management of
Infrastructure through the Use of Critical Information Flows 139
A.L. TURK, M.P.C. WEIJNEN
Part III: Institutional Change 161
Infrastructure Investment after Liberalization 163
LJ. DE VRIES
Infrastructure Regulation Difficulties 179
C. CASANUEV A, R. DEL VILLAR
Delineating the Scope of Convergence in Infrastructures 209
J.M. BAUER, M.P.C. WEIJNEN, A.L. TURK, P.M. HERDER
Part IV: Capacity Management 233
Interruptible Physical Transmission Contract for the Deregulated
Electric Power Industry 235
S. RAIKAR, P. SKANTZE
Capacity Management in Infrastructure Sectors 265
E.F. TEN HEUVELHOF, M. KUIT, H.D. STOUT, J.M. BAUER
Synthesis 281
Synthesis of Approaches and Insights 283
W.A.H. THISSEN, P.M. HERDER
Index 301
Contributing Authors
P.S. Anderson Simon Fraser University, Canada
J.M. Bauer Michigan State University, USA
R. de Boer Stratix Consulting Group, The Netherlands
C. Casanueva Universidad Iberoamericana Santa Fe, Mexico
H. Dowlatabadi University of British Columbia, Canada
G.A. Gow Simon Fraser University, Canada
D. Hastings Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
P.M. Herder Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
E.F. ten Heuvelhof Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
J. Huizenga TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory,
The Netherlands
M.H.A. Klaver TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory,
The Netherlands
M. Kuit Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
E.S. Lamassoure Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
H.A.M. Luiijf TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory,
The Netherlands
P. Maclaine Pont Stratix Consulting Group, The Netherlands
S. Raikar Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
J.H. Saleh Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
R. Samarajiva Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
C.H.C. van de Sandt Stratix Consulting Group, The Netherlands
P. Skantze Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
L. Srivastava Tata Energy Research Institute, India
H.D. Stout Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
N. Strachan Pew Center on Global Climate Change, USA
viii Critical infrastructures
State of the art in research and application
W.A.H. Thissen Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
1. van Till Stratix Consulting Group, The Netherlands
A.L. Turk Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
R. del Villar Central Bank of Mexico, Mexico
L.J. de Vries Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
A.L. Weigel Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA
M.P.C. Weijnen Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
H. Zerriffi Carnegie Mellon University, USA
Preface
In June, 200 I, the 5th International Conference on "Technology, Policy
and Innovation" was held in The Hague, The Netherlands. The conference
theme was "Critical Infrastructures", reflecting the emerging interest in this
field of research. We were fortunate to attract numerous participants to the
conference, including many of the key researchers in the field. Inspired by
the relevance and quality of their contributions to the conference, we
selected a number of papers for publication in a book, this book, on the state
of the art in critical infrastructure research. Subsequently, in a joint effort,
each of the selected conference contributions was re-written into a chapter,
reviewed, and adapted again.
At the time of the conference, we could not foresee the surge of interest
that has developed since, in particular triggered by the events of September
11, 2001, and the growing awareness of, and concern about, the vulnerability
of the western society to deliberate disturbance, and in particular the critical
roles of infrastructures in that respect. As a result, attention to security issues
is relatively limited in this book. Rather, it concentrates on a number of
fundamental issues relating to infrastructure systems in their dynamic
surroundings.
We express our thanks to the authors who were willing to put in
substantive additional efforts, and to the anonymous reviewers whose
invisible contributions made a big difference. We trust that this book
contributes to the emerging research field of critical infrastructures and we
hope that its contents will trigger and inspire even more researchers to join
us in researching and improving this fascinating and important element of
our society.
Wil A.H. Thissen Delft, July 2003
Paulien M. Herder
(Editors)
Chapter 1
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES: A NEW AND
CHALLENGING RESEARCH FIELD
P.M. Herder, W.A.H. Thissen
Delft University o/Technology, Department o/Technology, Policy and Management, PO Box
5015, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands, +31 152782823 (tel.), +31 15 2783422 (fax)